Methods: A retrospective observational cohort of U.S. academic medical centers of the University HealthSystem Consortium (UHC) studied hospital inpatients at UHC hospitals at-risk for developing HAPUs. HAPU incidence rates were calculated as a ratio of HAPU cases to total number of at-risk UHC inpatients between 2007-2012. HAPU cases were defined by multiple criteria: not present-on-admission (POA); coded for stage III or IV pressure ulcers (ICD-9 707.23-707.24); and a length-of-stay greater than 4 days. A t-test measured significant reductions in HAPU incidence post-policy. An analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) model measured changes in variance of HAPU incidence while controlling for CMS policy and HAPU risk factors.
Results: Among UHC hospitals between 2007-2012, there were 27,289 HAPU cases out of 4.29 million patients considered at-risk. HAPU incidence dropped significantly from 81 cases per 1,000 inpatients in 2007 to 0.7 cases per 1,000 in 2012 (p<0.001; 95% CI: 0.0236-0.0289). Among HAPU cases were trends of more elderly patients, greater case-mix index, and more surgical cases. The ANCOVA model identified CMS nonpayment policy as a significant covariate of changing trends in HAPU incidence.
Conclusions: HAPU incidence has reduced significantly since changes in CMS nonpayment policy. Hospitals reacted efficiently to economic policy incentives by improving prevention efforts.